Research program

WP1: Attribution of European floods

The aim of WP1 is to propose flexible and physically realistic non-stationary extreme-value models for attribution of heavy precipitation and floods over different regions of Europe

WP2: Attribution of European heatwaves and droughts

WP2 focuses on the attribution of European heatwaves and droughts using multivariate techniques that take into account spatio-temporal dependence and compounding mechanisms between high temperature and soil dryness.

WP3: Attribution of low Antarctic sea ice

The central scientific question of WP3 is: Are recent extremely low Antarctic sea ice states caused by one driving factor alone being exceptional, or do they instead result from the combined effect of multiple factors being moderately extreme but not necessarily exceptional?